First some personal experience. I am an Edwards supporter; I have records back from Feb 07 that I wanted an Edwards/Obama ticket. Once he leaves, I am going to support Obama as strongly as possible. True, I'm a 35 year old married male, so that puts me square in Obama's demographic, but I am the sample group you're asking about...Pic from here. Backpost finished 2009-12-18.
Secondly, about the larger impact. I think that the older voters are going to go to Clinton (I asked around in synagogue and that's what I was hearing). The younger to Obama if they haven't already jumped ship after Edward's loss in Iowa.
Ultimately, though, I think that Obama will benefit from this becoming a two person race. I think I understand Obama's skill set (having a similar set myself although on about 1/100th a scale). It's much easier to marshal an opposition to one opponent than to two. While Obama is about a positive message, he's also effective as a contrast - especially to Hillary - and Edwards was getting in his way.
As such, I predict that Obama will be MUCH better in the upcoming debate. It's just so much easier to concentrate on one opponent.
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Who is helped by Edwards dropping out?
The body of a letter I sent to the TPM:
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