Friday, October 22, 2004

Democracy Corps

James Carville is my ninja. He may be all this nation has to protect itself from the ravages of Karl Rove. His organization is The Democracy Corps and the DC's polls are considered to be the most accurate (this is based on the DC's performance in the 2000 election).

Check out this most recent survey by Dem Corps (Oct 20-21) in PDF form.

The results are startling. The negative campaigns have been largely successful but there's a consensus that Bush is better for foreign and Kerry for domestic. For example, when asked who's better for each issue (I'm simplifying the results):

ECONOMY: 50 Kerry, 44 Bush
TAXES: 44 Kerry, 47 Bush
WAR ON TERROR: 41 Kerry, 52 Bush
'BEING ON YOUR SIDE': Kerry 47, Bush 44
RAISING MIDDLE CLASS LIVING STANDARDS: Kerry 50, Bush 38 (I kid you not)
SOCIAL SECURITY: Kerry 49, Bush 41
HOMELAND SECURITY: Kerry 38, Bush 54 (whoa!)
HEALTH CARE: Kerry 52, Bush 39 (double whoa)

Whether or not these perceptions are accurate, the polling itself is purported to be very accurate. Our question is whether the voters, especially the Undecideds, favor domestic over foreign.

This is answered later in the survey; asking specifically "swing voters" which is more important 'health care & economy' or 'make us safe':

ECONOMY 57, SAFETY 32

If the Corps is correct, and the election isn't stolen again, then Kerry will win.

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