Thursday, September 23, 2004

Tabernacles Debate

As I said below (above?), the polls suggest that there is a core of disgruntlement with the direction of the nation. The population has not translated this lack of gruntles into a support for Kerry because he's as attractive as the DMV. Most people don't have an opinion about him!

I say this because of the polls, which have him at 31 favorable, 42 unfavorable, 5 don't know and 22% who say they haven't heard enough). True, that was a NYTimes/CBS poll - and I don't know who I don't trust more... NYT cannot tell the truth about Israel and CBS can't tell whether to rip of Janet's clothes or forge documents.

Anyway, Gallup for the week has 51 favorable, 44 unfavorable, and 5 no opinon - which is close enough and shows that the added category "need to learn more" is critical.

Kerry has a chance to affect those 22% with the debates. Gore underestimated Bush (big time) but hopefully the same holds true in '04 and the challenger has the advantage. Kerry may just need the national face time and just give off the ability that he can appear presidential and that may be enough.

If he does well in the first debate, look for Orange alerts in all the swing states. Terrorists will be stalking Florida!

And, naturally, the first debate is on Sukkot (Sept 30).

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